卡伦罗奇：比特币就要结束了吗

zg1976

ORCAM财经集团创始人卡伦罗奇日前在《实用财富》网站发表文章，指出了他对比特币存在的两点风险发表了看法。


图为卡伦罗奇（Cullen Roche）

Earlier this year I touched on Bitcoin, the new electronic money that’s become quite popular. Two of the key points I hit on were:

今年的早些时候，我接触了比特币，这个新型的电子货币变得非常流行。我有两个核心的观点：

Bitcoin is definitely money because it can be used for means of final payment, but it’s a poor form of money because it’s not very widely accepted.

其一：毫无疑问比特币就是一个货币，因为它可以最终用来支付。但是，它只是一个弱势的货币，因为它无法被大范围接受。

Bitcoin is likely to be forced to change because its existence in an untaxed system creates a problem in a society where money is viewed as something that serves public purpose as well as private purpose. If money exists purely for private purpose (as Bitcoin does) then it cannot be taxed and used for public purpose. I believe this creates a problem for the US government should Bitcoin ever become too popular and is likely to result in the US government clamping down on the way Bitcoin is operated (perhaps even shutting it down entirely).

其二：比特币很可能会被迫改变，因为它是一个无法被征税的货币系统，这导致了它在这个金钱被视为政府工具(经济调节工具)和私人工具的社会中注定会成为一个问题。如果货币只是纯粹地为私人服务(就像比特币)，那么就不可能再成为政府工具(言下之意是，无法通过税收达成二次社会分配和经济调节)。如果比特币变得更加热门和流行，那么这将给美国政府创造了一个严重的社会问题，这可能导致美国政府会禁止或全面封杀比特币。

So it’s interesting see this cease and desist from the State of California. In the letter the state says Bitcoin is violating the state’s transmission of money laws.

有趣的是我从加州政府身上看到了这样的迹象(叫停比特币的迹象)。加州政府颁布的信件上把比特币的交易归类为违反国家法律的行为。

So, it looks like certain governments are validating point 1 above. Bitcoin is definitely money. Now, we’re just waiting on how the various state and federal governments will respond to point 2. If Bitcoin continues to grow in popularity and creates a money that potentially detracts from the government’s ability to enact public purpose then Bitcoin will either adapt or die.

因此，看起来政府正在验证我前面说的第1点——比特币确实是一种货币。现在，我们只需要等下去看看其它的州政府和联邦政府如何来验证第2点。如果比特币继续扩大发展下去，它会成为一种可能削弱政府调控社会经济的能力的货币，比特币只能选择适应或者死亡。
来源：比特时代http://www.btc38.com/btc/btc_exp/83.html